1. Liga · Regular Season - 22
JFK VentspilsvsLeevon / PPK
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK: match review and analysis
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK in 1. Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
JFK Ventspils recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Leevon / PPK recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | JFK Ventspils | Leevon / PPK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
JFK Ventspils: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Leevon / PPK: (2.56 weighted goals scored + 2.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
JFK Ventspils recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums II1. Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Skanste1. Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Metta / LU1. Liga | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Rīgas FS II1. Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Riga FC II1. Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Super Nova 21. Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Smiltene1. Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Riga Mariners1. Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JDFS Alberts1. Liga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Skanste1. Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from JFK Ventspils’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leevon / PPK recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS II1. Liga | Home | 6–3 | Won | |
| Riga FC II1. Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tukums II1. Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Super Nova 21. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Smiltene1. Liga | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Mārupe1. Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rēzekne FA1. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Skanste1. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Riga Mariners1. Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RigaCup | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Leevon / PPK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Leevon / PPK are ranked 3 in 1. Liga, with 49 points from 21 games.
JFK Ventspils are ranked 12 in 1. Liga, with 15 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Skanste | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 26 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Tukums II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 60 | -33 | 18 |
| 11 | Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 15 |
| 13 | Rīgas FS II | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 15 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.