Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Kairat AlmatyvsZhetysu
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Almaty Central Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu: match review and analysis
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kairat Almaty recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Zhetysu recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 5 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kairat Almaty: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 2.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zhetysu: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kairat Almaty recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC AstanaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FK Tobol KostanayPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ZhenysPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| KaspiyPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Yelimay SemeyPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AnderlechtUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AnderlechtUEFA Europa League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UlytauPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kairat Almaty’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zhetysu recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaspiyPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yelimay SemeyPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IrtyshPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UlytauPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ZhenysPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| OrdabasyPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| AtyrauPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kyzyl-ZharPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OkzhetpesPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AltayPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zhetysu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kairat Almaty are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 57 points from 25 games.
Zhetysu are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 22 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Irtysh | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Altay | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 22 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.