Second League A - Division A Gold · Fall Season Gold - 13
KalugavsMashuk-KMV
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League A - Division A Gold
- Venue
- Orbita stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV: match review and analysis
Kaluga vs Mashuk-KMV in Second League A - Division A Gold on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kaluga recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Mashuk-KMV recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kaluga | Mashuk-KMV |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kaluga: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mashuk-KMV: (0.65 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kaluga recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva IISecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NovosibirskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo VladivostokSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC UFACup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Volgar AstrakhanSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Alaniya VladikavkazSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Avangard KurskCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo BryanskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mashuk-KMVSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kaluga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mashuk-KMV recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK Sokol SaratovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Volgar AstrakhanSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rodina Moskva IISecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NovosibirskSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo VladivostokSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alaniya VladikavkazSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KalugaSecond League A - Division A Gold | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AstrakhanCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dinamo KirovSecond League A - Division A Gold | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mashuk-KMV’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League A - Division A Gold — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mashuk-KMV are ranked 7 in FNL 2 Division A: Division A Gold, with 14 points from 12 games.
Kaluga are ranked 10 in FNL 2 Division A: Division A Gold, with 6 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Novosibirsk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Dinamo Bryansk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Mashuk-KMV | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Volgar Astrakhan | 12 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | FK Sokol Saratov | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Kaluga | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.