Super League · Regular Season - 17
Kamuzu BarracksvsMitundu Baptist
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist: match review and analysis
Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist in Super League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kamuzu Barracks recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Mitundu Baptist recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kamuzu Barracks | Mitundu Baptist |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kamuzu Barracks: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mitundu Baptist: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kamuzu Barracks recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EkhayaSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MAFCOSuper League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kamuzu Barracks’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mitundu Baptist recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red LionsSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CreckSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EkhayaSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mitundu Baptist’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mitundu Baptist are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 16 games.
Kamuzu Barracks are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Be Forward Wanderers | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 24 |
| 6 | Masters FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Ekhaya | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Creck | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Kamuzu Barracks | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.