NPFL · Regular Season - 7
Kano Pillars1–1Sporting Lagos
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- Sani Abacha Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kano Pillars vs Sporting Lagos: match review and analysis
Kano Pillars vs Sporting Lagos in NPFL on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Kano Pillars recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Sporting Lagos recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kano Pillars | Sporting Lagos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kano Pillars: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sporting Lagos: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kano Pillars recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EnyimbaNPFL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Inter LagosNPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Doma UnitedNPFL | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Niger TornadoesNPFL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kwara UnitedNPFL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Warri WolvesNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kun Khalifat FCNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rivers UnitedNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kano Pillars’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Lagos recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikorodu CityNPFL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barau FCNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EnyimbaNPFL | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Inter LagosNPFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Doma UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shooting StarsNPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EnyimbaNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bayelsa UnitedNPFL | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sporting Lagos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kano Pillars are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 11 points from 7 games.
Sporting Lagos are ranked 10 in Premier League, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Katsina United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Enyimba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.