Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 30
KaribavsScotland Mabvuku
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier Soccer League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kariba vs Scotland Mabvuku: match review and analysis
Kariba vs Scotland Mabvuku in Premier Soccer League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kariba recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Scotland Mabvuku recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 11 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kariba | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kariba: (0.44 weighted goals scored + 0.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Scotland Mabvuku: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kariba recent form
0.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlatinumPremier Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Simba BhoraPremier Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MWOSPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| DynamosPremier Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bulawayo ChiefsPremier Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HighlandersPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TelOnePremier Soccer League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HuntersPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Manica DiamondsPremier Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ngezi PlatinumPremier Soccer League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kariba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Scotland Mabvuku recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AgamaPremier Soccer League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nsingizini HotspursCAF Champions League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nsingizini HotspursCAF Champions League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PlatinumPremier Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Simba BhoraPremier Soccer League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| DynamosPremier Soccer League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MWOSPremier Soccer League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bulawayo ChiefsPremier Soccer League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HighlandersPremier Soccer League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TelOnePremier Soccer League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Scotland Mabvuku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier Soccer League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Scotland Mabvuku are ranked 1 in Premier Soccer League, with 61 points from 29 games.
Kariba are ranked 13 in Premier Soccer League, with 29 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland Mabvuku | 29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 35 | 61 |
| 2 | Hardrock | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 60 |
| 3 | Ngezi Platinum | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamos | 30 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Herentals | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | CAPS United | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Highlanders | 30 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Chicken Inn | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | MWOS | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Platinum | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Simba Bhora | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Bulawayo Chiefs | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Kariba | 29 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Hunters | 29 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Agama | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Triangle United | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | TelOne | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Manica Diamonds | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 19 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.