FKF Premier League · Final
Kariobangi SharksvsMombasa Elite
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Abandoned
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawVoid
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Abandoned
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa Elite: match review and analysis
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa Elite in FKF Premier League on 6 October 2026. Match status: Match Abandoned.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kariobangi Sharks recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Mombasa Elite recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kariobangi Sharks | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kariobangi Sharks: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mombasa Elite: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kariobangi Sharks recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa EliteFKF Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SofapakaFKF Premier League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| PoliceFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HomeboyzFKF Premier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bidco UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mara SugarFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TuskerShield Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GOR MahiaFKF Premier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kariobangi Sharks’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mombasa Elite recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NaivasSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nzoia SugarSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Luanda VillaSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 3KSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mwatate UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nairobi City StarsSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TalantaSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Migori YouthSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gucha StarsSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mombasa Elite’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2025 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kariobangi Sharks are ranked 16 in Premier League: Regular season, with 38 points from 34 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 69 |
| 2 | AFC Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 64 |
| 3 | Police | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 52 |
| 6 | Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 19 |
A table position is not available for every team in this match.
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.