Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 3
KaritsavsDigenis Neochori
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Karitsa vs Digenis Neochori: match review and analysis
Karitsa vs Digenis Neochori in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Karitsa recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 6. Digenis Neochori recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 3 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Karitsa | Digenis Neochori |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Karitsa: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Digenis Neochori: (0.47 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Karitsa recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SarakinosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Aetos MakrychoriouGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Anagennisi KarditsasGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FikisGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis LarissaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atromitos PalamasGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ermis AmyntaioGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| MeteoraGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Karitsa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Digenis Neochori recent form
0.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnthoupoliGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Asteras PetritiGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChalkisGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZakynthosGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PanelefsiniakosGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| PanagriniakosGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IpatoGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vyzas MegaraGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TilikratisGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Digenis Neochori’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Karitsa are ranked 6 in Group 4, with 3 points from 1 games.
Digenis Neochori are ranked 11 in Group 4, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.