3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 10
Karviná II0–1Zlín II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. liga - MSFL
- Venue
- Stadion Kovona
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Karviná II vs Zlín II: match review and analysis
Karviná II vs Zlín II in 3. liga - MSFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Karviná II recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Zlín II recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Karviná II | Zlín II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Karviná II: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Zlín II: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Karviná II recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Líšeň II3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Blansko3. liga - MSFL | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Slovácko II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hodonín3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Frýdek-Místek3. liga - MSFL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Vrchovina3. liga - MSFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Polanka nad Odrou3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Havířov3. liga - MSFL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Uherský Brod3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Uničov3. liga - MSFL | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Karviná II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Zlín II recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vítkovice3. liga - MSFL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sigma Olomouc II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Líšeň II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Blansko3. liga - MSFL | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Uherský Brod3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slovácko II3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hodonín3. liga - MSFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vrchovina3. liga - MSFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Polanka nad Odrou3. liga - MSFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Havířov3. liga - MSFL | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Zlín II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. liga - MSFL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zlín II are ranked 11 in MSFL, with 15 points from 11 games.
Karviná II are ranked 14 in MSFL, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Uničov | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Hranice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Vítkovice | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Slovácko II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Uherský Brod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Zlín II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Hodonín | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Vrchovina | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Karviná II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Vsetín | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Blansko | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Havířov | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.