Premier League · Regular Season - 6
KatakavsKitara
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- BCS Sports complex Bukedea
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kataka vs Kitara: match review and analysis
Kataka vs Kitara in Premier League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kataka recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Kitara recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kataka | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kataka: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kitara: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Kataka recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 2 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KCCAPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BULPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| UPDFPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kataka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kitara recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kigezi HomeBoyzPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mogadishu CityCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mogadishu CityCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PolicePremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BULPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kitara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kitara are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 3 games.
Kataka are ranked 17 in Regular Season, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.