J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Kataller ToyamavsTegevajaro Miyazaki
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Toyama Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: match review and analysis
Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki in J2 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kataller Toyama recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Tegevajaro Miyazaki recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kataller Toyama | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kataller Toyama: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kataller Toyama recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UrawaJ-League Cup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sagan TosuEmperor Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kataller Toyama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tegevajaro Miyazaki recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki FrontaleEmperor Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sagan TosuJ2 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ-League Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Jubilo IwataEmperor Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tegevajaro Miyazaki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kataller Toyama are ranked 3 in J2 League, with 17 points from 9 games.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki are ranked 11 in J2 League, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.