3. Lig - Group 2 · 3. Lig Group 2 - 5
Kepezspor0–1Karsiyaka
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka: match review and analysis
Kepezspor vs Karsiyaka in 3. Lig - Group 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kepezspor recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 26. Karsiyaka recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kepezspor | Karsiyaka |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kepezspor: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Karsiyaka: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 2.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kepezspor recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denizli İYG3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Söke 19703. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Karaman FKTürkiye Kupası | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Batman Petrolspor2. Lig | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Altınordu2. Lig | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı2. Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ankaragücü2. Lig | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Elazığspor2. Lig | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kepezspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Karsiyaka recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziemirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Altay3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Etimesgut SK3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tire 2021 FK3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Söke 19703. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bornova 18773. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Karsiyaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Karsiyaka are ranked 13 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 5 points from 5 games.
Kepezspor are ranked 16 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskişehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Balıkesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Söke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemirspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Uşak Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Akşehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepezspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli İYG | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 FK | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.