Second League - Group 4 · Group 4 - 7
Khimik DzerzhinskvsPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: match review and analysis
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod in Second League - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 14 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Khimik Dzerzhinsk recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDVSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Krylya Sovetov IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Akron IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pobeda Nizhniy NovgorodSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KDVSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo BarnaulSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| KDVSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Orenburg IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NostaCup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Khimik Dzerzhinsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylya Sovetov IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo BarnaulSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KDVSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Khimik DzerzhinskSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Krylya Sovetov IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Akron IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo BarnaulSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AmkarCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Akron IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk are ranked 1 in Urals, with 56 points from 22 games.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are ranked 3 in Urals, with 43 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.