Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Schleswig-Holstein - 12
Kilia KielvsLübeck II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II: match review and analysis
Kilia Kiel vs Lübeck II in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kilia Kiel recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 16. Lübeck II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kilia Kiel | Lübeck II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kilia Kiel: (2.72 weighted goals scored + 2.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lübeck II: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kilia Kiel recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SVOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Phönix L. IIOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Heider SVOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SV EichedeOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Oldenburger SVOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Union NeumünsterOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| RotenhofOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TSB FlensburgOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HohenwestedtOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| VfR NeumünsterOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kilia Kiel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lübeck II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union NeumünsterOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RotenhofOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TSB FlensburgOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HohenwestedtOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VfR NeumünsterOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| KaltenkirchenOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Holstein Kiel IIOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Rapid LubeckOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nordmark SatrupOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Oldenburger SVOberliga - Schleswig-Holstein | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lübeck II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kilia Kiel are ranked 3 in Schleswig-Holstein, with 21 points from 11 games.
Lübeck II are ranked 13 in Schleswig-Holstein, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstein Kiel II | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Neumünster | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Kilia Kiel | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 20 |
| 5 | Rotenhof | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Rapid Lubeck | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Oldenburger SV | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Heider SV | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 | SV Eichede | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Phönix L. II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Neumünster | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Nordmark Satrup | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Lübeck II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 9 |
| 15 | Kaltenkirchen | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Hohenwestedt | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.