NB III - Northeast · Northeast - 11
Kisvárda IIvsTarpa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NB III - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kisvárda II vs Tarpa: match review and analysis
Kisvárda II vs Tarpa in NB III - Northeast on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kisvárda II recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Tarpa recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 7 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kisvárda II | Tarpa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kisvárda II: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tarpa: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kisvárda II recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszafuredi VSENB III - Northeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cigand SENB III - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TiszaújvárosNB III - Northeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ózd SajóvölgyeNB III - Northeast | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| EgerNB III - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DEACNB III - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FüzesabonyNB III - Northeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HajdúnánásNB III - Northeast | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Diósgyőr IINB III - Northeast | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MátészalkaNB III - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kisvárda II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tarpa recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debrecen IINB III - Northeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nyiregyhaza IINB III - Northeast | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Salgótarjáni BTCNB III - Northeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tiszafuredi VSENB III - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cigand SENB III - Northeast | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TiszaújvárosNB III - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| EmodiMagyar Kupa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ózd SajóvölgyeNB III - Northeast | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| DEACNB III - Northeast | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| EgerNB III - Northeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tarpa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NB III - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kisvárda II are ranked 4 in Northeast, with 17 points from 10 games.
Tarpa are ranked 15 in Northeast, with 6 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | DEAC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 4 | Kisvárda II | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Debrecen II | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Diósgyőr II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Mátészalka | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Gödöllő | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Eger | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 16 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hajdúnánás | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.