Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Kitara1–0Kigezi HomeBoyz
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 3 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Hoima City Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kitara vs Kigezi HomeBoyz: match review and analysis
Kitara vs Kigezi HomeBoyz in Premier League on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kitara recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Kigezi HomeBoyz recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 1 scored and 5 conceded across 3 games.
| Statistic | Kitara | Kigezi HomeBoyz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 1 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kitara: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kigezi HomeBoyz: (0.34 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kitara recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mogadishu CityCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mogadishu CityCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PolicePremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BULPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ExpressPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kitara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 3 GAMES
Kigezi HomeBoyz recent form
0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. 2 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC VillaPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KCCAPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kigezi HomeBoyz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kitara are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 3 games.
Kigezi HomeBoyz are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | KCCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.