III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 11
Kluczevia StargardvsLech Poznań II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II: match review and analysis
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II in III Liga - Group 2 on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kluczevia Stargard recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 15. Lech Poznań II recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kluczevia Stargard | Lech Poznań II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kluczevia Stargard: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lech Poznań II: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kluczevia Stargard recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaliszIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pogoń SiedlceCup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Grom Nowy StawIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kluczevia Stargard’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lech Poznań II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Grom Nowy StawIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Victoria WrześniaIII Liga - Group 2 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| KaliszFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Lech Poznań II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kluczevia Stargard are ranked 3 in Group II, with 19 points from 10 games.
Lech Poznań II are ranked 8 in Group II, with 15 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Stargard Szczeciński | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Świecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Flota Świnoujście | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Toruń | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kórnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.