Super League · Regular Season - 23
Kokand-1912vsMash'al
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al: match review and analysis
Kokand-1912 vs Mash'al in Super League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kokand-1912 recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Mash'al recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses, with 6 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kokand-1912 | Mash'al |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kokand-1912: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 2.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mash'al: (0.61 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kokand-1912 recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurkhonSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GazalkentCup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AndijanSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BunyodkorSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kokand-1912’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mash'al recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PakhtakorSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AndijanSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QizilqumSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| XorazmSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SogdianaSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NasafSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mash'al’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kokand-1912 are ranked 15 in Super League, with 20 points from 22 games.
Mash'al are ranked 16 in Super League, with 4 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Olmaliq | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand-1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 44 | -33 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.