Regionalliga - West · West - 12
Köln IIvsBorussia M'gladbach II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - West
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II: match review and analysis
Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II in Regionalliga - West on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Köln II recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 18. Borussia M'gladbach II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Köln II | Borussia M'gladbach II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Köln II: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Borussia M'gladbach II: (2.34 weighted goals scored + 2.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Köln II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HildenRegionalliga - West | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Westfalia RhynernRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bergisch GladbachRegionalliga - West | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bonner SCRegionalliga - West | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bochum IIRegionalliga - West | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC GuterslohRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WiedenbrückRegionalliga - West | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Köln II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Borussia M'gladbach II recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Rot-weiss OberhausenRegionalliga - West | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Stoke City U21Premier League International Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC GuterslohRegionalliga - West | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| WiedenbrückRegionalliga - West | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| SG Wattenscheid 09Regionalliga - West | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Sportfreunde SiegenRegionalliga - West | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC BocholtRegionalliga - West | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Borussia M'gladbach II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - West — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Borussia M'gladbach II are ranked 4 in Regionalliga: West, with 20 points from 11 games.
Köln II are ranked 10 in Regionalliga: West, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Gutersloh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Westfalia Rhynern | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Bergisch Gladbach | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Bonner SC | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Schalke 04 II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Köln II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Bocholt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Paderborn II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Hilden | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Bochum II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | SV Rodinghausen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Wiedenbrück | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.