Asian Games · Final
Korea Republic U231–0Japan U23
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Asian Games
- Venue
- Toyota Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23: match review and analysis
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 in Asian Games on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Korea Republic U23 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Japan U23 recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 25 scored and 2 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Korea Republic U23 | Japan U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Korea Republic U23: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 0.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Japan U23: (2.66 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Korea Republic U23 recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia U23Friendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| China PR U23Asian Games | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vietnam U23Asian Games | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Saudi Arabia U23Asian Games | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Qatar U23Asian Games | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Kyrgyz Republic U23Friendlies | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Thailand U23Friendlies | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| UAE U23Friendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| USA U21Friendlies | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Japan U21Friendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Korea Republic U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Japan U23 recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan U23Asian Games | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Korea DPR U23Asian Games | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Thailand U23Asian Games | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kyrgyz Republic U23Asian Games | Away | 7–0 | Won | |
| Hong Kong U23Asian Games | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| China PR U23AFC U23 Asian Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Korea Republic U23AFC U23 Asian Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Jordan U23AFC U23 Asian Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Qatar U23AFC U23 Asian Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| UAE U23AFC U23 Asian Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Japan U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Asian Games — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Japan U23 are ranked 1 in Group A, with 9 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Kyrgyz Republic U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China PR U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Korea DPR U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iran U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | UAE U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Philippines U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Kuwait U23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
Korea Republic U23 are ranked 1 in Group D, with 6 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Korea Republic U23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar U23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.