Persha Liga · Regular Season - 10
Kulykiv1–2Probiy Horodenka
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka: match review and analysis
Kulykiv vs Probiy Horodenka in Persha Liga on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Kulykiv recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Probiy Horodenka recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kulykiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kulykiv: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 2.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Probiy Horodenka: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kulykiv recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Veres RivneCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Palmira OdesaCup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kulykiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Probiy Horodenka recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OleksandriaCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv KyivCup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Probiy Horodenka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kulykiv are ranked 4 in Persha Liga, with 17 points from 10 games.
Probiy Horodenka are ranked 16 in Persha Liga, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Yarud Mariupol' | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.