Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
KV MechelenvsSt. Truiden
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Jupiler Pro League
- Venue
- Achter de Kazerne
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: match review and analysis
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden in Jupiler Pro League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
KV Mechelen recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 18. St. Truiden recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | KV Mechelen | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
KV Mechelen: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Truiden: (1.50 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
KV Mechelen recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KarpatyFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AnderlechtJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CharleroiJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GentJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DunkerqueFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Willem IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from KV Mechelen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Truiden recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SK BeverenJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AntwerpJupiler Pro League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Truiden’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Jupiler Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
St. Truiden are ranked 12 in Pro League, with 8 points from 7 games.
KV Mechelen are ranked 18 in Pro League, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Zulte Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.