Second League - Group 1 · Group 1 - 26
Kyzyltash2–1Shahter Taganrog
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kyzyltash vs Shahter Taganrog: match review and analysis
Kyzyltash vs Shahter Taganrog in Second League - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kyzyltash recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Shahter Taganrog recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kyzyltash | Shahter Taganrog |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kyzyltash: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shahter Taganrog: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kyzyltash recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kyzyltash’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shahter Taganrog recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| LuganskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| DruzhbaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shahter Taganrog’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shahter Taganrog are ranked 2 in South, with 46 points from 21 games.
Kyzyltash are ranked 6 in South, with 31 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Astrakhan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 18 |
| 13 | Angust Nazran | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | KDV | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Akron II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orenburg II | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
| 2 | Ural II | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 25 |
| 3 | Izhevsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nosta | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk II | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.