Campionato · Regular Season - 5
La FioritavsMurata
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Campionato
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
La Fiorita vs Murata: match review and analysis
La Fiorita vs Murata in Campionato on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
La Fiorita recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Murata recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 8 scored and 31 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | La Fiorita | Murata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 31 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
La Fiorita: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 3.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Murata: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
La Fiorita recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DomagnanoCampionato | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FiorentinoCampionato | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San Marino AcademyCampionato | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VirtusCampionato | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UNA StrassenUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| UNA StrassenUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vardar SkopjeFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tre FioriCoppa Titano | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VirtusCampionato | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tre PenneCampionato | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from La Fiorita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Murata recent form
0.80 goals scored and 3.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CosmosCampionato | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San GiovanniCampionato | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| VirtusCoppa Titano | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PennarossaCampionato | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FolgoreCampionato | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Juvenes / DoganaCampionato | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| FiorentinoCampionato | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| VirtusCampionato | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tre FioriCampionato | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PennarossaCampionato | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Murata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campionato — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
La Fiorita are ranked 7 in Campionato, with 6 points from 4 games.
Murata are ranked 12 in Campionato, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes / Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.