Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Group 8 - 6
La Virgen del CaminovsAtlético Mansillés
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
La Virgen del Camino vs Atlético Mansillés: match review and analysis
La Virgen del Camino vs Atlético Mansillés in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
La Virgen del Camino recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Atlético Mansillés recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 13 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | La Virgen del Camino | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
La Virgen del Camino: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlético Mansillés: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
La Virgen del Camino recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TuréganoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Calasanz de SoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MojadosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Becerril CamposTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from La Virgen del Camino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Mansillés recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TuréganoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cultural Leonesa IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MojadosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Becerril CamposTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atlético Mansillés’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atlético Mansillés are ranked 3 in Tercera: Group 8, with 10 points from 4 games.
La Virgen del Camino are ranked 7 in Tercera: Group 8, with 9 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.