Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
FULL-TIME
Lanus2–0Velez Sarsfield
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Profesional Argentina
- Venue
- Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield: match review and analysis
Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional Argentina on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Lanus recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Velez Sarsfield recorded 3 wins, 7 draws and 0 losses, with 13 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lanus | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lanus: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Velez Sarsfield: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lanus recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lanus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Velez Sarsfield recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TigreLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boca JuniorsCopa Argentina | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Velez Sarsfield’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Profesional Argentina — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Velez Sarsfield are ranked 3 in Apertura - Group A, with 28 points from 16 games.
Lanus are ranked 6 in Apertura - Group A, with 24 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
Velez Sarsfield are ranked 4 in Clausura - Group A, with 21 points from 11 games.
Lanus are ranked 6 in Clausura - Group A, with 17 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independ. Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.