Premiership Women · Group Stage
Larne W1–0Lisburn Ladies W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premiership Women
- Venue
- Inver Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W: match review and analysis
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W in Premiership Women on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Larne W recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 45. Lisburn Ladies W recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, with 7 scored and 41 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Larne W | Lisburn Ladies W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 45 | 41 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Larne W: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 3.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lisburn Ladies W: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 4.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Larne W recent form
0.60 goals scored and 4.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City WPremiership Women | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Crusaders Strikers WPremiership Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Crusaders Strikers WPremiership Women | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Rangers WPremiership Women | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Home | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Cliftonville WPremiership Women | Home | 0–8 | Lost | |
| Linfield WPremiership Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Derry City WPremiership Women | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cliftonville WPremiership Women | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Larne W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lisburn Ladies W recent form
0.70 goals scored and 4.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Crusaders Strikers WPremiership Women | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Derry City WPremiership Women | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Derry City WPremiership Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Crusaders Strikers WPremiership Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Linfield WPremiership Women | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Rangers WPremiership Women | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Cliftonville WPremiership Women | Home | 0–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lisburn Ladies W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premiership Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lisburn Ladies W are ranked 6 in Group Stage, with 4 points from 8 games.
Larne W are ranked 7 in Group Stage, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crusaders W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Glentoran BU W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 9 |
| 3 | Cliftonville W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 9 |
| 4 | Linfield W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 6 |
| 5 | Derry City W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lisburn Ladies W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 4 |
| 7 | Larne W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.