Serie A · Regular Season - 6
LaziovsMonza
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie A
- Venue
- Stadio Olimpico
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Lazio vs Monza: match review and analysis
Lazio vs Monza in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Lazio recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Monza recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lazio | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lazio: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Monza: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lazio recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve StabiaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| ArezzoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| VeneziaSerie A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AC MilanSerie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UdineseSerie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GenoaSerie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BolognaSerie A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MantovaCoppa Italia | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FrosinoneFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ostia MareFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Lazio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Monza recent form
1.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CremoneseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SassuoloSerie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LecceSerie A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ParmaSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorinoCoppa Italia | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| UdineseSerie A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| InterSerie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AvellinoCoppa Italia | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PadovaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Monza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lazio are ranked 3 in Serie A, with 13 points from 5 games.
Monza are ranked 16 in Serie A, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.