Liga Pro Serie B · Relegation Group - 6
LDU Portoviejo3–2El Nacional
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro Serie B
- Venue
- Estadio Reales Tamarindos
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 8′Unknown playerNormal GoalLDU Portoviejo
- 16′Unknown playerNormal GoalLDU Portoviejo
- 19′Unknown playerNormal GoalEl Nacional
- 85′Unknown playerNormal GoalLDU Portoviejo
- 90′Unknown playerNormal GoalEl Nacional
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional: match review and analysis
LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional in Liga Pro Serie B on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
LDU Portoviejo recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 5. El Nacional recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | LDU Portoviejo | El Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
LDU Portoviejo: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 1.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
El Nacional: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
LDU Portoviejo recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Delfin SCCopa Ecuador | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| El NacionalLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CumbayáLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CuniburoLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CumbayáLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barcelona SCCopa Ecuador | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from LDU Portoviejo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
El Nacional recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CumbayáLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Santo DomingoLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| LDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ind. JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San AntonioLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 9 de OctubreLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| 22 de JulioLiga Pro Serie B | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from El Nacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
LDU Portoviejo are ranked 9 in Liga Pro Serie B, with 27 points from 22 games.
El Nacional are ranked 12 in Liga Pro Serie B, with 12 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.