Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 10
Leamington4–0Hitchin Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Leamington vs Hitchin Town: match review and analysis
Leamington vs Hitchin Town in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Leamington recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Hitchin Town recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leamington | Hitchin Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leamington: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hitchin Town: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Leamington recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| QuornFA Trophy | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownFA Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Leamington’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hitchin Town recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TakeleyFA Trophy | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LeistonFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Biggleswade TownFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Biggleswade TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hitchin Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Leamington are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 9 games.
Hitchin Town are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 10 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall Olympic | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bishop's Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.