UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Lech PoznanvsBayer Leverkusen
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
- Venue
- Stadion Miejski
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen: match review and analysis
Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen in UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Lech Poznan recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 27 and conceding 15. Bayer Leverkusen recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lech Poznan | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 27 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lech Poznan: (2.74 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bayer Leverkusen: (2.63 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lech Poznan recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask WroclawEkstraklasa | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| JagielloniaEkstraklasa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC ThunUEFA Europa League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC ThunUEFA Europa League | Home | 7–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Lech Poznan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bayer Leverkusen recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| RB LeipzigBundesliga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CeljeUEFA Europa League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC AugsburgBundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union BerlinBundesliga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| SV ElversbergBundesliga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SV WehenDFB Pokal | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| NewcastleFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SevillaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Europa League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bayer Leverkusen are ranked 8 in UEFA Europa League, with 3 points from 1 games.
Lech Poznan are ranked 35 in UEFA Europa League, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.