First League · Regular Season - 13
LeningradetsvsTorpedo Moskva
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Nova Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva: match review and analysis
Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva in First League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Leningradets recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Torpedo Moskva recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leningradets | Torpedo Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leningradets: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Torpedo Moskva: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Leningradets recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo MakhachkalaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FK Sokol SaratovCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VelesFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Leningradets’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Torpedo Moskva recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo ZhodinoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VelesFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shinnik YaroslavlCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Torpedo Moskva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Torpedo Moskva are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 12 games.
Leningradets are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.