Primera B · Clausura - 13
Leones FCvsPatriotas
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Leones FC vs Patriotas: match review and analysis
Leones FC vs Patriotas in Primera B on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Leones FC recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Patriotas recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leones FC | Patriotas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leones FC: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Patriotas: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Leones FC recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Leones FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Patriotas recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Patriotas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Patriotas are ranked 11 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 35 points from 27 games.
Leones FC are ranked 16 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 21 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 60 |
| 2 | Envigado | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | Quindio | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 21 |
Patriotas are ranked 11 in Primera B: Apertura, with 17 points from 15 games.
Leones FC are ranked 14 in Primera B: Apertura, with 10 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Patriotas are ranked 5 in Primera B: Clausura, with 18 points from 12 games.
Leones FC are ranked 16 in Primera B: Clausura, with 11 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Popayan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional Palmira | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.