League One · Regular Season - 9
Leyton Orient0–2Plymouth
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Matchroom Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: match review and analysis
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth in League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Leyton Orient recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Plymouth recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leyton Orient | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leyton Orient: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Plymouth: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Leyton Orient recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StevenageLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal U21EFL Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WycombeLeague One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BradfordLeague Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LutonLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BromleyLeague One | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| WalsallLeague Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| WiganLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AFC WimbledonEFL Trophy | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Leyton Orient’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Plymouth recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Crystal Palace U21EFL Trophy | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| BlackpoolLeague One | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BradfordLeague One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CoventryLeague Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| WycombeLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stockport CountyLeague One | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Plymouth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Plymouth are ranked 1 in League One, with 16 points from 9 games.
Leyton Orient are ranked 11 in League One, with 10 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.