Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Group 11 - 5
Llosetense3–1Arenal
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Llosetense vs Arenal: match review and analysis
Llosetense vs Arenal in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Llosetense recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Arenal recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 11 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Llosetense | Arenal |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Llosetense: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 2.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arenal: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Llosetense recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter IbizaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FormenteraTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AndratxTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SineuTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ManacorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ManacorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FormenteraTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Inter IbizaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MercadalTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| ConstànciaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Llosetense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arenal recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PorreresTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MercadalTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AlcúdiaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ConstànciaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LlosetenseTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlcúdiaTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SóllerTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| SantanyíTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ManacorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlaiorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Arenal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Llosetense are ranked 5 in Tercera: Group 11, with 10 points from 5 games.
Arenal are ranked 15 in Tercera: Group 11, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Constància | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges Calvià | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyí | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcúdia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.