USL Championship · Group Stage
Loudoun United1–1Indy Eleven
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL Championship
- Venue
- Segra Field
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven: match review and analysis
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven in USL Championship on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Loudoun United recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Indy Eleven recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Loudoun United | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Loudoun United: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Indy Eleven: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Loudoun United recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL Championship | Home | 4–5 | Lost | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hartford AthleticUSL Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Indy ElevenUSL Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Loudoun United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Indy Eleven recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode IslandUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Oakland RootsUSL Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BrooklynUSL Championship | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Birmingham LegionUSL Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Phoenix RisingUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hartford AthleticUSL Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Indy Eleven’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Indy Eleven are ranked 9 in USL Championship, with 34 points from 27 games.
Loudoun United are ranked 10 in USL Championship, with 24 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 21 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.