Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 7
FULL-TIME
Lugo3–1UD Logroñés
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Estadio Anxo Carro
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Lugo vs UD Logroñés: match review and analysis
Lugo vs UD Logroñés in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Lugo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 6. UD Logroñés recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lugo | UD Logroñés |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lugo: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UD Logroñés: (2.68 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lugo recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CD CoriaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ourense CFFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CoruxoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Celta de Vigo IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Lugo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UD Logroñés recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UD OurensePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Extremadura 1924Primera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Huesca IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| MirandesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| ZaragozaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HuescaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from UD Logroñés’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lugo are ranked 1 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 19 points from 7 games.
UD Logroñés are ranked 2 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 16 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Athletic Club II | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Cacereño | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Cultural Leonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Unión | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Extremadura 1924 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Mérida AD | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Pontevedra | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Barakaldo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.