Liga Leumit · Regular Season - 9
Maccabi HerzliyavsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Leumit
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: match review and analysis
Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in Liga Leumit on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Maccabi Herzliya recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maccabi Herzliya | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maccabi Herzliya: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Maccabi Herzliya recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AshdodLiga Leumit | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kiryat Yam SCLiga Leumit | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kafr QasimLiga Leumit | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi Kiryat GatLiga Leumit | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Kfar SabaLiga Leumit | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ra'ananaLiga Leumit | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Kfar SabaLiga Leumit | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Maccabi Herzliya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZionLiga Leumit | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel AcreLiga Leumit | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Kfar ShalemLiga Leumit | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Maccabi Bnei RainaLiga Leumit | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Kabilio JaffaLiga Leumit | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ra'ananaLiga Leumit | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmekLiga Alef | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Maccabi Ahi Nazareth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Leumit — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Maccabi Herzliya are ranked 12 in Liga Leumit, with 8 points from 8 games.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are ranked 13 in Liga Leumit, with 7 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashdod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Kiryat Yam SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ra'anana | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kafr Qasim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modi'in | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Acre | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 23 | -23 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.