PFL · Group Stage
Maharlika5–0Philippine Army
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- PFL
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–0
- 90-minute score
- 5–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Maharlika vs Philippine Army: match review and analysis
Maharlika vs Philippine Army in PFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Maharlika recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Philippine Army recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses, with 11 scored and 56 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maharlika | Philippine Army |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 10 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 56 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maharlika: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 5.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Philippine Army: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Maharlika recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StallionPFL | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AzkalsPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dynamic Herb CebuPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TuloyPFL | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| MendiolaPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Garelli UnitedPFL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| TuloyPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Philippine ArmyPFL | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| MendiolaPFL | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Manila DiggerPFL | Home | 0–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Maharlika’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Philippine Army recent form
1.10 goals scored and 5.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KayaPFL | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| TuloyPFL | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Garelli UnitedPFL | Away | 1–8 | Lost | |
| MendiolaPFL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MaharlikaPFL | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| TuloyPFL | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| MendiolaPFL | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Garelli UnitedPFL | Away | 1–9 | Lost | |
| KayaPFL | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Manila DiggerPFL | Away | 0–10 | Lost |
Scores shown from Philippine Army’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
PFL — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.