Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Group A - 5
Maia LidadorvsMaria da Fonte
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte: match review and analysis
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Maia Lidador recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Maria da Fonte recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 6 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maia Lidador | Maria da Fonte |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maia Lidador: (0.32 weighted goals scored + 2.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Maria da Fonte: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Maia Lidador recent form
0.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. 3 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Marco 09Taça de Portugal | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MontalegreCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BragançaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Vila MeãTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ponte da BarcaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SC Braga BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BritoTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Maia Lidador’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Maria da Fonte recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ParedesTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SC Braga BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BritoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Uniao NogueirenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CeloricenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VinhaisCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FafeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BritoTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AroucaTaça de Portugal | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| LajenseTaça de Portugal | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Maria da Fonte’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Maria da Fonte are ranked 12 in II Divisao: Group A, with 3 points from 4 games.
Maia Lidador are ranked 13 in II Divisao: Group A, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | SC Braga B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Os Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Brito | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.