National League - South · National League South - 11
MaidenheadvsTonbridge Angels
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- York Road
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels: match review and analysis
Maidenhead vs Tonbridge Angels in National League - South on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Maidenhead recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Tonbridge Angels recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maidenhead | Tonbridge Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maidenhead: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tonbridge Angels: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Maidenhead recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham UnitedNational League - South | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Ebbsfleet UnitedFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Billericay TownNational League - South | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| DoverNational League - South | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AFC TottonNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FarnboroughNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dorking WanderersNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Maidenhead’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tonbridge Angels recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TorquayFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RamsgateFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FarnboroughNational League - South | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Billericay TownNational League - South | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Truro CityNational League - South | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DoverNational League - South | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tonbridge Angels’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tonbridge Angels are ranked 10 in National League N/S: South, with 14 points from 10 games.
Maidenhead are ranked 11 in National League N/S: South, with 13 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham Town | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge Angels | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford City | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.