Primera Division · Apertura - 12
ManaguavsSan Marcos
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Managua vs San Marcos: match review and analysis
Managua vs San Marcos in Primera Division on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Managua recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 32 and conceding 9. San Marcos recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Managua | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 32 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Managua: (3.07 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Marcos: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Managua recent form
3.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JalapaPrimera Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Walter FerrettiPrimera Division | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| MatagalpaPrimera Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| San MarcosPrimera Division | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Managua’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
San Marcos recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Walter FerrettiPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MatagalpaPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from San Marcos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Managua are ranked 1 in Apertura, with 29 points from 11 games.
San Marcos are ranked 7 in Apertura, with 11 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 | Diriangén | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Estelí | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | H&H Export | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 6 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.