Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Group 18 - 5
Manchego1–0Almansa
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Manchego vs Almansa: match review and analysis
Manchego vs Almansa in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Manchego recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Almansa recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Manchego | Almansa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Manchego: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Almansa: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Manchego recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarchamaloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| VillacañasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| La SolanaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TarancónTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TarancónTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IllescasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SonsecaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Manchego’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Almansa recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VillacañasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| La SolanaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NoblejasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Quintanar del ReyTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hogar AlcarreñoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Almansa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Manchego are ranked 1 in Tercera: Group 18, with 15 points from 5 games.
Almansa are ranked 9 in Tercera: Group 18, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.