Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 5
Marbella0–2Real Betis II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- Banus Football Center
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Marbella vs Real Betis II: match review and analysis
Marbella vs Real Betis II in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Marbella recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Real Betis II recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marbella | Real Betis II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marbella: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 0.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Betis II: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marbella recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puente GenilSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético CentralSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Sevilla AtleticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TeruelPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Juventud TorremolinosPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EldensePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Marbella’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Betis II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| BadajozSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC CartagenaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TarazonaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AntequeraPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Juventud TorremolinosPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Betis II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Betis II are ranked 1 in Group 4, with 13 points from 5 games.
Marbella are ranked 14 in Group 4, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.