1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Mardin 1969vsFatih Karagümrük
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Lig
- Venue
- 21 Kasım Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük: match review and analysis
Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük in 1. Lig on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mardin 1969 recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Fatih Karagümrük recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mardin 1969 | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mardin 1969: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fatih Karagümrük: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mardin 1969 recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor1. Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kayserispor1. Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Iğdır FK1. Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bodrum FK1. Lig | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sivasspor1. Lig | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Vanspor FK1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boluspor1. Lig | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Antalyaspor1. Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ümraniyespor1. Lig | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EyüpsporFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mardin 1969’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fatih Karagümrük recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KasımpaşaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Esenler Erokspor1. Lig | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Manisa F.K.1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Batman Petrolspor1. Lig | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kayserispor1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| İstanbulspor1. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bursaspor1. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ümraniyespor1. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Iğdır FK1. Lig | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fatih Karagümrük’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Lig — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mardin 1969 are ranked 6 in Lig A, with 15 points from 9 games.
Fatih Karagümrük are ranked 10 in Lig A, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Mardin 1969 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Sarıyer | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Bandırmaspor | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Bodrum FK | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Pendikspor | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Manisa F.K. | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Esenler Erokspor | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.