Cup · Round of 32
MarekvsCherno More Varna
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Marek vs Cherno More Varna: match review and analysis
Marek vs Cherno More Varna in Cup on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Marek recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Cherno More Varna recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marek | Cherno More Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marek: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 2.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cherno More Varna: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marek recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BeroeSecond League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chavdar TroyanCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rilski SportistSecond League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Yantra 2019Second League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NesebarSecond League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportist SvogeSecond League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DobrudzhaSecond League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| MontanaSecond League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Marek’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cherno More Varna recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski SofiaFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LudogoretsFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Dunav RuseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arda KardzhaliFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CSKA SofiaFirst League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dunav RuseFirst League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSKA 1948First League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LudogoretsFirst League | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cherno More Varna’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.