Liga 3 · Regular Season - 23
Margveti 2006vsGuria
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Margveti 2006 vs Guria: match review and analysis
Margveti 2006 vs Guria in Liga 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Margveti 2006 recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 8. Guria recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 29 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Margveti 2006 | Guria |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Margveti 2006: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 0.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guria: (3.25 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Margveti 2006 recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GardabaniLiga 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BetlemiLiga 3 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Merani TbilisiLiga 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Didube 2014Liga 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| IraoLiga 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VarketiliLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Iberia 1999David Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Torpedo Kutaisi IIDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo Tbilisi IILiga 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Margveti 2006’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guria recent form
2.90 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi IILiga 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GardabaniLiga 3 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| GonioLiga 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BetlemiLiga 3 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| FC Iberia 1999 IILiga 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Merani TbilisiLiga 3 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotivi TbilisiLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aragvi DushetiDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo TbilisiDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Merani TbilisiDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Guria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guria are ranked 1 in Liga 3, with 51 points from 22 games.
Margveti 2006 are ranked 10 in Liga 3, with 30 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63 | 11 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Varketili | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 14 | 40 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 54 | -41 | 13 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 56 | -38 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.