Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 5
Marino6–1Playas Sotavento
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 4 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 6–1
- 90-minute score
- 6–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Marino vs Playas Sotavento: match review and analysis
Marino vs Playas Sotavento in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 6–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Marino recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Playas Sotavento recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 3 scored and 10 conceded across 4 games.
| Statistic | Marino | Playas Sotavento |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marino: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 2.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Playas Sotavento: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marino recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laguna de DueroTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TenerifeFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| ArucasTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Unión Sur YaizaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San MiguelTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético PasoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TamaraceiteTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Marino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 4 GAMES
Playas Sotavento recent form
0.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 4 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los LlanosTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD San FernandoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GévoraCopa del Rey | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Playas Sotavento’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Marino are ranked 5 in Group 12, with 7 points from 4 games.
Playas Sotavento are ranked 18 in Group 12, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | San Bartolomé | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Panadería Pulido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brígida | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Estrella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.