Third League - Southeast · Southeast - 9
Maritsa Milevo4–2Sozopol
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol: match review and analysis
Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol in Third League - Southeast on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Maritsa Milevo recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Sozopol recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Maritsa Milevo | Sozopol |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Maritsa Milevo: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sozopol: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Maritsa Milevo recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Levski KrumovgradThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Gigant SaedinenieThird League - Southeast | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sekirovo RakovskiThird League - Southeast | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Botev Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Neftochimic BurgasThird League - Southeast | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atletik KuklenThird League - Southeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BeroeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Maritsa Milevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sozopol recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sekirovo RakovskiThird League - Southeast | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Botev Plovdiv IIThird League - Southeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Neftochimic BurgasThird League - Southeast | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Atletik KuklenThird League - Southeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DimitrovgradThird League - Southeast | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Levski KarlovoThird League - Southeast | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Rodopa SmolyanThird League - Southeast | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Spartak PlovdivThird League - Southeast | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Rakovski 2011Third League - Southeast | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Sekirovo RakovskiThird League - Southeast | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sozopol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Maritsa Milevo are ranked 2 in Southeast, with 21 points from 9 games.
Sozopol are ranked 8 in Southeast, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Sayana Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.