Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 14
MarquensevsMixco
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Marquense vs Mixco: match review and analysis
Marquense vs Mixco in Liga Nacional on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Marquense recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Mixco recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Marquense | Mixco |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Marquense: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mixco: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Marquense recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MunicipalLiga Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Antigua GFCLiga Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MalacatecoLiga Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AuroraLiga Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| XelajúLiga Nacional | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GuastatoyaLiga Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cobán ImperialLiga Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Marquense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mixco recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Antigua GFCLiga Nacional | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| MalacatecoLiga Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AuroraLiga Nacional | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| XelajúLiga Nacional | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Alianza FCCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GuastatoyaLiga Nacional | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| UMECITCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mixco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Nacional — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.